Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
26.9% ( -0.08) | 26.73% ( 0.03) | 46.37% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( -0.15) | 56.07% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( -0.12) | 77.15% ( 0.12) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( -0.15) | 36.29% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% ( -0.15) | 73.07% ( 0.14) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( -0.05) | 24.16% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( -0.06) | 58.47% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.9% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |