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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Celta Vigo logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Asensio (42'), Militao (48')
Ceballos (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vazquez (19'), Galan (70')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga fixture against Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo

Celta will certainly be the fresher of the two teams entering this match, and it could be a close affair at Bernabeu, with Ancelotti likely to make a number of changes to his side. However, Real Madrid should still be able to navigate their way to their 20th league victory of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
64.18% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01) 19.59% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 16.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)38.62% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)60.92% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)11.38% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.89% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)36.11% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)36.91% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (-0.058 -0.06)73.7% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 64.18%
    Celta Vigo 16.23%
    Draw 19.59%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 64.18%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.23%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Real Madrid
87.9%
Draw
11.1%
Celta Vigo
1.0%
99
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 9pm
gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
1-4
Real Madrid
Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
gameweek 4
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 28
Celta Vigo
1-3
Real Madrid
Mina (40')
Tapia (25'), Suarez (78'), Solari (85')
Benzema (20', 30'), Asensio (90+4')
Junior (22'), Kroos (39'), Nacho (70'), Modric (80')
Jan 2, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vazquez (6'), Asensio (53')
Asensio (38'), Nacho (50'), Carvajal (84'), Casemiro (87')

Mendez (10'), Tapia (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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