Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.23% ( -0.34) | 25.72% ( -0.3) | 42.05% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( 1.18) | 49.66% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 1.05) | 71.67% ( -1.05) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 0.37) | 29.01% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.09% ( 0.45) | 64.91% ( -0.45) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( 0.84) | 23.45% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( 1.21) | 57.45% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |