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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Lino (72')
Gonzalez (27'), Lino (27'), Correia (39'), Cavani (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jackson (62')
Jackson (41'), Parejo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, April 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Fighting for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Valencia will be desperate to pick up a positive result on Wednesday, but in-form Villarreal will not make life easy for the hosts. Having won seven of their last 10 league outings – including three of their previous four away games – Villarreal look set to pile more pressure on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
35.28% (-0.132 -0.13) 25.81% (0.792 0.79) 38.89% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-2.785 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (-3.581 -3.58)49.45% (3.572 3.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (-3.308 -3.31)71.49% (3.298 3.3)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-1.768 -1.77)27.01% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (-2.369 -2.37)62.36% (2.36 2.36)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-1.958 -1.96)24.97% (1.949 1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-2.79 -2.79)59.62% (2.781 2.78)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.28%
    Villarreal 38.89%
    Draw 25.8%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.828 0.83)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.298 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.49 0.49)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.931 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.212 -0.21)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.222 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.89%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
24.6%
Draw
17.5%
Villarreal
57.9%
114
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Musah (35')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
Mar 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 26
Valencia
2-1
Villarreal
Soler (86' pen.), Guedes (90+2')
Racic (14'), Soler (23'), Gaya (39'), Gomez (67')
Moreno (40' pen.)
Foyth (36'), Capoue (42'), Albiol (85')
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Alcacer (6' pen.), Parejo (69')
Iborra (12'), Pedraza (52'), Kubo (72')
Kubo (90+2')
Guedes (37')
Paulista (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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