MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 22:32:22| >> :600:291373:291373:
Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
1 - 2
Atalanta

Leao (45')
Hernandez (57'), Leao (80')
Mirante (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koopmeiners (45+2', 59' pen.)
Piero Gasperini (38'), Ederson (90')
Piero Gasperini (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, January 7 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

Milan have been exceptional at home over the past few months and are favourites to progress in what could be a very open game at San Siro. It is rare for Atalanta to fail to score a goal in a game, but even if they get on the scoresheet here, it will still be a tall order for them to come to San Siro and book their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
48.06% (0.136 0.14) 24.81% (0.223 0.22) 27.13% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-1.011 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (-1.197 -1.2)48.34% (1.196 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (-1.106 -1.11)70.48% (1.105 1.1)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (-0.422 -0.42)20.16% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.679 -0.68)52.44% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (-0.902 -0.9)31.97% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (-1.041 -1.04)68.43% (1.041 1.04)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.06%
    Atalanta BC 27.13%
    Draw 24.8%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.32% (0.371 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.181 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Winner Match 31 vs Winner Match 32

Winner Match 31
73.8%
Draw
12.6%
Winner Match 32
13.6%
103
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
Lookman (38', 55'), Muriel (90+5')
Ederson (72')
Giroud (45+3'), Jovic (80')
Reijnders (71'), Calabria (80'), Jovic (88'), Bennacer (90+2')
Calabria (90+3')
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Musso (25' og.), Messias (86')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!