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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Saint-Etienne

Nice
4 - 2
St Etienne

Bard (52'), Delort (60', 62'), Boudaoui (80')
Daniliuc (44'), Kluivert (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bouanga (11'), Youssouf (45+3')
Macon (37'), Mangala (54'), Moukoudi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

We said: Nice 3-1 Saint-Etienne

While Saint-Etienne's slender win over Nice last season will provide them with some confidence on Wednesday, Les Verts could be in for a challenging evening against their Champions League-chasing opponents this time around. Securing all three points is required if they are to move out of the bottom three, but we can only see the Eaglets running away with victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawSaint-Etienne
62.35% (-3.523 -3.52) 21.1% (1.017 1.02) 16.54% (2.504 2.5)
Both teams to score 51.37% (2.669 2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.468 0.47)44.95% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (0.448 0.45)67.31% (-0.45099999999999 -0.45)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.901 -0.9)13.83% (0.897 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.8% (-1.809 -1.81)41.2% (1.805 1.81)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (3.68 3.68)40.38% (-3.684 -3.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (3.173 3.17)77% (-3.177 -3.18)
Score Analysis
    Nice 62.34%
    Saint-Etienne 16.54%
    Draw 21.1%
NiceDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-1 -1)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.921 -0.92)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.56% (-0.591 -0.59)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.234 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.29 -0.29)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 62.34%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.466 0.47)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.49 0.49)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.1%
0-1 @ 5.07% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.628 0.63)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.383 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.54%

How you voted: Nice vs St Etienne

Nice
77.8%
Draw
13.9%
Saint-Etienne
8.3%
72
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 4pm
St Etienne
0-3
Nice
Gouiri (15'), Stengs (54'), Delort (83')
Kamara (45'), Todibo (90')
Jan 31, 2021 12pm
Nice
0-1
St Etienne

Bambu (48'), Boudaoui (68')
Abi (88')
Moukoudi (41'), Gourna-Douath (78')
Oct 18, 2020 4pm
St Etienne
1-3
Nice
Aouchiche (57')
Moukoudi (72'), Hamouma (90+3')
Lees-Melou (8'), Gouiri (30'), Maolida (90+1')
Kamara (49'), Nsoki (58'), Daniel Benitez (67'), Lotomba (68'), Bambu (73')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
St Etienne
4-1
Nice
Bouanga (11' pen., 58'), Hamouma (38'), Fofana (40')
Ruffier (49'), Diony (88')
Dolberg (15')
Lees-Melou (24'), Lloris (60'), Burner (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest331610750341658
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Reims32118133946-741
11Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
12Toulouse321010123942-340
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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