Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
46.67% ( 0) | 24.17% ( -0) | 29.16% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( 0.01) | 44.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( 0.01) | 66.6% ( -0.01) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.91% ( 0.01) | 19.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.29% ( 0.01) | 50.71% ( -0.01) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.64% ( 0) | 28.36% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.9% ( 0.01) | 64.09% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.67% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |