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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Houston Dynamo

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Houston

Shaqiri (10' pen.), Gutierrez (78')
Czichos (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibrahim (65')
Sviatchenko (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Chicago have been struggling to find their best form this season and are coming off a very poor display against Atlanta last weekend. They now have to face a Houston side that are unbeaten in their last four in all competitions, are riding a three-match winning streak and will be brimming with confidence after their comeback win against the Earthquakes. We fancy the hosts to get on the board here but feel that the visitors will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
47.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.31% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)72.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)32.46% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 47.02%
    Houston Dynamo 27.67%
    Draw 25.31%
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Houston

Chicago Fire
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals
Chicago Fire
1-4
Houston
Souquet (40')
Pineda (21'), Navarro (62'), Gimenez (63'), Burks (90')
Bassi (12' pen.), Ibrahim (31', 59'), Quinones (74')
Gasper (89')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Aug 4, 2019 2am
Gameweek 29
Houston
0-1
Chicago Fire

Elis (44'), Vera (46')
Nikolic (45')
Bronico (53'), McCarty (67')
May 20, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 14
Chicago Fire
2-3
Houston
Nikolics (14'), Campos (16')
Adams (38'), Sanchez (83'), Ramos (91')
Quioto (4'), Elis (56' pen., 74')
Garcia (67'), Quioto (79'), Elis (80'), Willis (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7New York City FCNY City104241110114
8DC United113531617-114
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
5Austin FCAustin114431413116
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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