Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
57.43% ( -0.11) | 23.04% ( 0.03) | 19.53% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.47% ( 0.02) | 48.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.34% ( 0.01) | 70.66% ( -0.01) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% ( -0.03) | 16.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% ( -0.06) | 46.49% ( 0.06) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( 0.1) | 39.02% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.26% ( 0.1) | 75.75% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 19.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
7 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
8 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 8 |