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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
St Louis City

Houston
0 - 0
St Louis City


Jackson (85')
FT

Schmitt (74'), Ostrak (74'), Jackson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 3-1 St Louis City

While they have improved in many areas of the field, St Louis still allow their share of scoring opportunities, and that could benefit the Dynamo on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
67.45% (-0.404 -0.4) 18.76% (0.159 0.16) 13.78% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (-0.169 -0.17)40.01% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (-0.174 -0.17)62.37% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.151 -0.15)10.92% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (-0.334 -0.33)35.11% (0.333 0.33)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (0.252 0.25)41.04% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (0.223 0.22)77.59% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 67.45%
    St Louis City 13.78%
    Draw 18.76%
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.94% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.78%

How you voted: Houston vs St Louis City

Houston Dynamo
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
St Louis City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 3.30am
First Round 2nd Leg
Houston
1-0
St Louis City
Sviatchenko (60')
Escobar (90+3')

Nerwinski (42'), Wentzel (90')
Feb 21, 2024 1am
First Round 1st Leg
St Louis City
2-1
Houston
Parker (61'), Kijima (90')
Kowalczyk (72')
Clark (21'), Dorsey (88'), Segal (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Houston
1-1
St Louis City
Baird (42')
Sviatchenko (8'), Escobar (22'), Herrera (25'), Carrasquilla (61')
Klauss (88')
Blom (34'), Parker (90+5')
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-0
Houston
Lowen (9' pen.), Ostrak (51'), Gioacchini (83' pen.)
Blom (45+5'), Jackson (69'), Alm (90+1')

Carrasquilla (45+5'), Franco (45+7'), Caicedo (45+2'), Olsen (46'), Bartlow (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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