Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
67.45% ( -0.4) | 18.76% ( 0.16) | 13.78% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.52% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.99% ( -0.17) | 40.01% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.62% ( -0.17) | 62.37% ( 0.17) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.07% ( -0.15) | 10.92% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.89% ( -0.33) | 35.11% ( 0.33) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.95% ( 0.25) | 41.04% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.4% ( 0.22) | 77.59% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.16% Total : 67.45% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.76% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |