Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Houston2 - 1Earthquakes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Houston
Sunday, March 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Seattle
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes
While San Jose would have taken confidence from their win over Seattle, they have lost both of their opening two away games by a 2-1 scoreline. We think that they could fall to another away defeat against a Houston side that are slowly building momentum following back-to-back victories. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
52.29% ( 0.16) | 24.45% ( -0.05) | 23.25% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
