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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
3 - 2
Seattle

Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Colorado
Saturday, March 16 at 7.55pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Seattle Sounders

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders have both stumbled into the new campaign and will be looking to find their feet this weekend. The Quakes' home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we finally see them ending their losing streak in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
43.58% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 25.11% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.31% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.164 0.16)47.38% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.152 0.15)69.6% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)54.91% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (0.158 0.16)28.49% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (0.198 0.2)64.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 43.58%
    Seattle Sounders 31.31%
    Draw 25.11%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.31%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
57.6%
Draw
39.4%
Seattle Sounders
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-0
Seattle
Espinoza (19' pen.), Trauco (64')

Tolo (41'), Chu (45+4')
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
0-1
Earthquakes

Roldan (19'), Ragen (43'), Atencio (87')
Ebobisse (48')
Marie (66'), Yueill (77')
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Apr 24, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
4-3
Seattle
Espinoza (45+2', 64', 90+4' pen.), Yueill (65')
Lodeiro (14' pen.), Roldan (20'), Morris (57')
Sep 30, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 37
Earthquakes
1-3
Seattle
O'Neill (51' og.)
Ruidiaz (25', 42'), Roldan (49')
Roldan (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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