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Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 3
Cincinnati

Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati

The Pigeons have not been as poor as their record indicates but have been guilty of a few mental errors, which we believe they will correct come Wednesday. Cincinnati have been grinding out their share of results, and given they have a similar approach to the Union, we believe New York will have a slight advantage, having played Philly just days ago.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
55.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 22.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)15.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)43.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71%69.28% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.31%
    FC Cincinnati 22.28%
    Draw 22.4%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 1am
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
gameweek 13
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Colorado RapidsColorado125431815319
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
6St Louis City113711815316
7Austin FCAustin124441415-116
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
9Houston DynamoHouston114341011-115
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122641920-112
11Dallas113261215-311
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes122281726-98


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