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[monks data]
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 32
Sep 4, 2021 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
0 - 1
New England


Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')

Preview: Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides coming off comprehensive defeats in MLS last weekend will hope to bounce back on Friday when the Philadelphia Union welcome the New England Revolution to Subaru Park.

After taking an early lead, Philly conceded three unanswered goals to lose 3-1 to DC United last weekend, while the Revs saw their nine-game unbeaten run snapped, falling 2-0 to New York City FC.


Match preview

Philadelphia Union midfielder Quinn Sullivan celebrates his goal with teammates on June 27, 2021© Reuters

They got the start that they wanted for once, but a Steve Birnbaum own goal on 22 minutes was about as good as it would get for Jim Curtin and the Union last Saturday.

It was rare to see the Union get dominated in that fashion, especially against DC, who they had gone unbeaten against in their 10 previous matches before then, winning nine of those encounters with a goal differential of +19.

Even though they are safely positioned in fifth in the Eastern Conference, it is fair to say that this season has not gone as well as this team had hoped it would, following their Supporters' Shield triumph in 2020.

It seems like every other game, they are having to fight their way back from an early deficit, conceding the opening goal in four matches in all competitions last month, after only drawing first blood once in the entire month of July.

A year ago, they scored the second-most goals in MLS in the regular season (44), but so far in 2021, they are not finding the same kind of consistency in attack, scoring multiple goals on only six occasions in MLS play.

While they have not scored as many times as many of us expected, they are doing an excellent job at keeping the ball out of their own goal at home, maintaining five clean sheets at Subaru Park this year and allowing only six goals total.

New England Revolution forward Gustavo Bou celebrates scoring with teammates on June 28, 2021© Reuters

An unbeaten run that lasted over a month and a half finally came to an end for New England last Saturday as they suffered their first defeat since July 7.

If you are going to beat the Revs, you had better not give them any momentum because they will pounce the moment you allow them back into a game.

As proof of this, two of their four defeats this year have come when they have failed to get on the scoreboard, and they have rarely been able to fight their way back from a losing position.

Since the season began, almost everything has gone right for Bruce Arena and his team, so it is perhaps not a major surprise that this side would suffer a let-down at some point.

The Revolution were only able to test Pigeons goalkeeper Sean Johnson once last weekend, firing one shot on target, their lowest tally of the season.

Even with that defeat, they are still in the enviable position of leading the Eastern Conference with a 14-point cushion on Orlando City and Nashville SC and with many regulars away on international duty, it will allow Arena to give some other players a chance to show what they can do.

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Philadelphia Union form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

New England Revolution Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Philadelphia Union head coach Jim Curtin walks onto the field before match against the New England Revolution on May 12, 2021© Reuters

We will see a very different Philly lineup this weekend with several players being called up to their national team for the next qualifying matches for World Cup 2022, including Andre Blake, Cory Burke and Alvas Powell, all of whom are with Jamaica, Daniel Gazdag will be representing Hungary, Jose Martinez is in San Cristobal as his Venezuelan side host Argentina, Jamiro Monteiro is with the Cape Verde team, who are looking to make it out of the African region, and Olivier Mbaizo will be in Cameroon as his national side play host to Malawi.

Homegrown midfielder Jack de Vries, who has missed most of the year with a concussion, has been loaned to Italian side Venezia in Serie A, Jack Elliott will be suspended after receiving a yellow card versus the Black-and-Red, Ilsinho and Sergio Santos are both questionable with hamstring injuries.

Kacper Przybylko has not scored a goal since July 25, while Quinn Sullivan scored the only goal in their last home fixture against CF Montreal, his second of the season and striker Matheus Davo is still seeking his first appearance for his temporary club after being loaned to the Union from Brazilian side Corinthians.

The Revs will be missing starting keeper Matt Turner who is with the US for their match against El Salvador, Tajon Buchanan is in Toronto as the Canadians open up the next round of qualifying against Honduras and their second-leading goalscorer Adam Buksa has been called up to the Polish national team, who are hosting Albania on Thursday.

Carles Gil is back training with the Revs, having missed their last six games with a muscular injury, Luis Caicedo is still out with a lower-body issue and Brandon Bye is questionable with an undisclosed injury.

Andrew Farrell is now the all-time leader in regular-season appearances for the Revs, earning his 262nd cap on Saturday, surpassing Shalrie Joseph and Diego Fagundez, while Matt Polster returned from a knee injury and Edward Kizza made his first appearance for the senior side since July 7, having scored four goals in seven games this season for Revolution II.

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Freese; Wagner, Findlay, Glesnes, Collin; Flach, McGlynn, Sullivan, Fontana; Monteiro, Przybylko

New England Revolution possible starting lineup:
Knighton; DeLaGarza, Kessler, Farrell, Bye; Boateng, McNamara, Gil, Maciel; Bou, Kizza


SM words green background

We say: Philadelphia Union 1-1 New England Revolution

With both teams missing several key components because of international duty, it will be an opportunity for other players to shine, so expect a spirited affair from both teams, with numerous players out to prove to their coach that they deserve more playing time.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
25.0%
Draw
29.5%
New England Revolution
45.5%
44
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New York City FC forward Valentin Castellanos (11) celebrates a goal by forward Santiago Rodriguez (not pictured) against Toronto FC with defender Malte Amundsen (12) and forward Thiago (8) during the first half at BMO Field on August 7, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle122551414011
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Portland TimbersPortland122552124-311
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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