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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Brentford logo

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Brentford

Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford

Brentford have drawn three of their five away Premier League matches this season, while Villa have won just twice in front of their own fans in the league this term. There should be a reaction from the hosts following Gerrard's departure, but Brentford are strong enough to claim a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
45.15% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 26.26% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 28.58% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)53.4% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)74.93% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)23.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-0.073 -0.07)57.64% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)33.51% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)70.15% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 45.15%
    Brentford 28.58%
    Draw 26.26%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
19.4%
Brentford
43.8%
201
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
Dec 26, 2017 7.30pm
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Sawyers (22'), Vibe (52')
McEachran (37'), Barbet (41')
Onomah (30')
Elphick (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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