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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Leicester logo

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Leicester

Watkins (9'), Souttar (32' og.)
FT(HT: 2-3)
Maddison (12'), Iheanacho (41'), Tete (45+2'), Praet (79')
Castagne (56'), Soyuncu (86'), Tielemans (88')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City twice come from behind to record a 4-2 win over Aston Villa in Saturday afternoon's Premier League clash at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
44.41% (1.988 1.99) 25.06% (-0.221 -0.22) 30.53% (-1.769 -1.77)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (0.283 0.28)47.47% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.262 0.26)69.68% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.045 1.05)21.39% (-1.047 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (1.589 1.59)54.38% (-1.591 -1.59)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-1.025 -1.03)29.06% (1.023 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (-1.286 -1.29)64.97% (1.284 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.41%
    Leicester City 30.53%
    Draw 25.05%
Aston VillaDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.367 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.148 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.53%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leicester

Aston Villa
64.6%
Draw
18.4%
Leicester City
17.0%
147
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Feb 21, 2021 2.05pm
Aston Villa
1-2
Leicester
Traore (48')
Luiz (51'), Elmohamady (59')
Maddison (19'), Barnes (23')
Ndidi (34')
Oct 18, 2020 7.15pm
Leicester
0-1
Aston Villa

Perez (31'), Tielemans (41'), Castagne (73'), Evans (74')
Barkley (90+1')
McGinn (32'), Cash (40'), Luiz (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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