Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
44.41% ( 1.99) | 25.06% ( -0.22) | 30.53% ( -1.77) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.53% ( 0.28) | 47.47% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.31% ( 0.26) | 69.68% ( -0.26) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% ( 1.05) | 21.39% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.62% ( 1.59) | 54.38% ( -1.59) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( -1.03) | 29.06% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% ( -1.29) | 64.97% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Liverpool | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Arsenal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Aston Villa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
9 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
20 | Southampton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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