Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
45.91% ( -0.01) | 25.49% ( -0) | 28.6% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( 0.02) | 50.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( 0.02) | 72.21% ( -0.02) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% ( 0.01) | 21.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.87% ( 0.01) | 55.13% ( -0.01) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% ( 0.02) | 31.86% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% ( 0.02) | 68.3% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Liverpool | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Arsenal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Aston Villa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
9 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
20 | Southampton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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