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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Brighton logo

Southampton
1 - 3
Brighton

Ward-Prowse (73')
Aribo (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lallana (14'), Perraud (35' og.), March (56')
Sanchez (73'), Caicedo (86')

The Match

Match Report

Nathan Jones's first Premier League home game in charge of Southampton ends in a 3-1 loss to Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.36% (0.242 0.24) 25.2% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 42.44% (-0.276 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)47.37% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (-0.061 -0.06)69.59% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.124 0.12)27.8% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.157 0.16)63.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.16 -0.16)22.27% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (-0.239 -0.24)55.71% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 32.36%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.44%
    Draw 25.19%
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Brighton

Southampton
22.1%
Draw
19.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion
58.8%
136
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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