Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.36% ( 0.24) | 25.2% ( 0.03) | 42.44% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% ( -0.07) | 47.37% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% ( -0.06) | 69.59% ( 0.06) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( 0.12) | 27.8% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( 0.16) | 63.39% ( -0.16) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( -0.16) | 22.27% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% ( -0.24) | 55.71% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Liverpool | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Arsenal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Aston Villa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
9 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
20 | Southampton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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