Southampton

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Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match.