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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Leicester logo

Southampton
1 - 0
Leicester

Alcaraz (35')
Alcaraz (21'), Adams (62'), Armstrong (77'), Ward-Prowse (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (43'), Maddison (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Leicester City at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
36.63% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.15% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 38.23% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (0.104 0.1)46.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1)68.63% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.107 0.11)23.92% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.152 0.15)58.14% (-0.15 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 36.63%
    Leicester City 38.23%
    Draw 25.15%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leicester

Southampton
17.4%
Draw
19.9%
Leicester City
62.7%
161
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Leicester
1-2
Southampton
Maddison (54')
Daka (76'), Maddison (90+4')
Adams (68', 84')
Elyounoussi (64'), Aribo (82'), Lavia (90+4')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Semi-Finals
Leicester
1-0
Southampton
Iheanacho (55')

Diallo (5'), Soyuncu (49'), Bednarek (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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