Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.77% ( 0.13) | 25.3% ( 0.09) | 22.92% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.32% ( -0.56) | 53.68% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.83% ( -0.48) | 75.17% ( 0.47) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( -0.18) | 20.74% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.62% ( -0.28) | 53.37% ( 0.27) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( -0.53) | 38.49% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% ( -0.51) | 75.24% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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