Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Leeds United |
57.49% ( 1.05) | 22.89% ( -0.25) | 19.62% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( 0.02) | 47.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( 0.02) | 69.97% ( -0.01) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.64% ( 0.37) | 16.36% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.02% ( 0.67) | 45.98% ( -0.66) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.51% ( -0.83) | 38.49% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.76% ( -0.8) | 75.24% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 57.48% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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