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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga

Benfica
1 - 0
Braga

Silva (67')
Otamendi (34'), Neves (41'), Mario (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Horta (45+5'), Sequeira (90'), Djalo (90+12'), Bruma (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 1-0 Braga

 Benfica have been edging past opponents and just about getting the job done to cling onto their lead at the top, and it will be a big statement if they can again. Both sides have match winners, and Braga may be more confident at the moment, but on the big occasions domestically, Benfica often show up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
59.87% (0.644 0.64) 20.45% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 19.67% (-0.7 -0.7)
Both teams to score 59.87% (-1.419 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.31% (-1.306 -1.31)36.69% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.15% (-1.434 -1.43)58.85% (1.428 1.43)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-0.23 -0.23)11.96% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63% (-0.485 -0.48)37.36% (0.479 0.48)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-1.433 -1.43)31.99% (1.428 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (-1.665 -1.67)68.45% (1.66 1.66)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 59.87%
    Braga 19.67%
    Draw 20.45%
BenficaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.395 0.4)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.227 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.24% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 59.87%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.45%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
61.5%
Draw
20.5%
Braga
17.9%
39
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
1-1
Benfica
 Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Elmusrati (36')
Racic (55'), Castro (88'), Niakate (92'), Tormena (100'), Oliveira (106'), Banza (113')
Guedes (15')
Otamendi (83'), Vlachodimos (111'), Morato (115')
Bah (31'), Morato (120')
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
gameweek 14
Braga
3-0
Benfica
Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')

Luis (27')
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 11
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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