MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 23:42:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eibar logo
Segunda Division | 1st Leg
Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Alaves logo

Eibar
1 - 1
Alaves

Stoichkov (45+1')
Berrocal (30'), Blanco (40'), Munoz (48'), Arbilla (60')
Arbilla (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sylla (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Eibar
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Alaves
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

We said: Eibar 1-1 Alaves

There is not much to choose between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting both legs to be incredibly tight, with penalties potentially ultimately being needed to separate them. Eibar will be hoping to secure a first-leg advantage, but we believe that Alaves will be able to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
EibarDrawAlaves
50.46% (0.222 0.22) 29.1% (0.51 0.51) 20.44% (-0.729 -0.73)
Both teams to score 36.7% (-1.847 -1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.2% (-1.905 -1.91)67.8% (1.908 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.2% (-1.287 -1.29)85.8% (1.29 1.29)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.807 -0.81)27.56% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (-1.056 -1.06)63.08% (1.059 1.06)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.66% (-1.963 -1.96)49.34% (1.966 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.8% (-1.425 -1.43)84.2% (1.428 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 50.45%
    Alaves 20.44%
    Draw 29.1%
EibarDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 17.52% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 50.45%
0-0 @ 13.6% (0.93 0.93)
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 20.44%

How you voted: Eibar vs Alaves

Eibar
58.8%
Draw
11.8%
Alaves
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
gameweek 26
Alaves
2-0
Eibar
Villalibre (70', 90+2')
Nov 20, 2022 6pm
gameweek 16
Eibar
0-0
Alaves
May 1, 2021 1pm
gameweek 34
Eibar
3-0
Alaves
Kike (3', 50', 59')

Pina (44'), Battaglia (57')
Dec 23, 2020 9pm
gameweek 15
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Mendez (41'), Deyverson (45+2')
Mendez (38'), Battaglia (56'), Pina (62'), Laguardia (89')
Leon (4')
Gil (81'), Arieta (88')
Feb 7, 2020 8pm
gameweek 23
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Perez (46'), Burke (66')
Vidal (35'), Navarro (74'), Garcia (85')
Orellana (83')
Leon (53'), Charles (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real ValladolidValladolid392081146311568
2Leganes381813750232767
3EibarEibar391981267442365
4Espanyol391517754391562
5Racing de SantanderRacing391710126052861
6Sporting GijonSporting Gijon391611124840859
7Real Oviedo3815131047331458
8ElcheElche381610124138358
9Burgos39169145051-157
10Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol391512124547-257
11Levante39131794743456
12TenerifeTenerife381410143536-152
13CartagenaCartagena38139163545-1048
14Real ZaragozaZaragoza381113143738-146
15Eldense391113154454-1046
16Albacete381112154451-745
17MirandesMirandes391111174352-944
18Huesca38915143130142
19AlcorconAlcorcon391011182849-2141
20Villarreal II38109193655-1939
21Amorebieta38911183452-1838
22FC AndorraFC Andorra39910203150-1937


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