Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
20.48% | 22.46% | 57.07% |
Both teams to score 54.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.25% | 44.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.89% | 67.11% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% | 35.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% | 15.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.7% | 44.3% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 5.68% 2-1 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.48% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.88% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.08% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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