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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
Milan logo

Crotone
0 - 2
AC Milan


Marrone (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (45+2' pen.), Diaz (50')
Pioli (57'), Gabbia (63'), Hernandez (78'), Leao (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A game between Crotone and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
27.44%23.55%49.01%
Both teams to score 58.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47%42.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06%64.94%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.53%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98%48.02%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 27.44%
    AC Milan 49.01%
    Draw 23.55%
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.82%
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.44%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 5.53%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.01%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2018 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Crotone
Bonucci (54')
Biglia (45'), Kalinic (90')

Mandragora (20'), Martella (90')
Aug 20, 2017 7.45pm
Crotone
0-3
AC Milan

Dussenne (90')
Ceccherini (5')
Kessie (6' pen.), Cutrone (18'), Suso (24')
Cutrone (9'), Locatelli (59'), Bonucci (69')
Apr 30, 2017 2pm
Crotone
1-1
AC Milan
Trotta (8')
Ferrari (20'), Crisetig (26'), Falcinelli (94')
Zapata (50')
Kucka (24'), Deulofeu (43')
Kucka (96')
Dec 4, 2016 11.30am
AC Milan
2-1
Crotone
Pasalic (41'), Lapadula (86')
Locatelli (49'), Sosa (63'), Lapadula (87')
Falcinelli (26')
Rosi (43'), Crisetig (52'), Rohden (60'), Stoian (67')
Dec 1, 2015 8pm
Round Four
AC Milan
3-1
Crotone
Adriano (47'), Bonaventura (105'), Niang (115')
Mauri (65'), Adriano (109')
Budimir (68')
Alexandru Balasa (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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