Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
33.07% | 22.85% | 44.09% |
Both teams to score 64.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.94% | 36.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% | 21.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% | 55.25% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% | 16.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% | 46.95% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.46% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |