Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Monza |
38.3% ( -0.61) | 28.14% ( -0.05) | 33.57% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 47.19% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.09% ( 0.27) | 58.91% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.6% ( 0.21) | 79.4% ( -0.21) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( -0.23) | 29.78% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( -0.27) | 65.86% ( 0.28) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( 0.59) | 32.8% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% ( 0.66) | 69.36% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |