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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 18, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Spezia Calcio logo

Sassuolo
4 - 1
Spezia

Berardi (17' pen., 48'), Ayhan (78'), Scamacca (81')
Henrique (20'), Berardi (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Verde (36')
Kovalenko (15'), Maggiore (55'), Erlic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 2-1 Spezia

Spezia showed their defensive resilience against Cagliari last time out, but they could struggle to keep a clean sheet against Sassuolo, who have scored at least twice in 18 Serie A games this season, including in each of their last five. The hosts will miss the presence of Raspadori in attack, but they still have enough quality in their side to secure all three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawSpezia
61.38%20.36%18.26%
Both teams to score 57.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45%38.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.16%60.84%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88%12.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.31%37.69%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46%34.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74%71.26%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 61.38%
    Spezia 18.26%
    Draw 20.36%
SassuoloDrawSpezia
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 6.97%
3-0 @ 6.56%
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.68%
4-0 @ 3.46%
4-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.55%
5-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 61.38%
1-1 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 5.27%
0-0 @ 4.19%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.36%
1-2 @ 4.99%
0-1 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 18.26%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Spezia

Sassuolo
82.8%
Draw
12.1%
Spezia
5.1%
99
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Sassuolo
Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')
Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
Spezia
Caputo (25')
De Zerbi (70'), Locatelli (79'), Ferrari (86')
Erlic (39'), Gyasi (78')
Bastoni (31'), Erlic (70'), Vignali (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 11.30am
Spezia
1-4
Sassuolo
Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
Aug 12, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus351812548272166
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza351112123846-845
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
17Empoli3688202652-2632
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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