Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
61.38% | 20.36% | 18.26% |
Both teams to score 57.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.45% | 38.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.16% | 60.84% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.88% | 12.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.31% | 37.69% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% | 34.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% | 71.26% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Spezia |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 6.97% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.38% | 1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.36% | 1-2 @ 4.99% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |