Taca de Portugal | Final
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga0 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, May 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 1-3 Porto
Carrying an 11-game winning streak into Sunday's showpiece, Porto look set to defend their Taca de Portugal crown at the expense of Braga, who will likely struggle to deal with the Dragons' attacking firepower. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Porto had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
38.57% ( -0.02) | 26.4% ( 0.18) | 35.02% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
