
Dusseldorf3 - 1Erzgebirge Aue
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
64.01% | 20.59% | 15.4% |
Both teams to score 50.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.16% | 44.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.8% | 67.2% |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% | 13.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.87% | 40.14% |
Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.21% | 41.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.75% | 78.26% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 6.64% 4-0 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.94% Total : 64% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.85% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.67% Total : 15.4% |
Strauss (67'), Cacutalua (68')