Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Canada 0-2 Mexico
Friday, March 21 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, March 21 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Mexico 1-0 Panama
As they have done in each of their finals before, we expect the Panamanians to put up a good fight and keep this match close for long stretches. In the end, though, the Mexicans know how to get ahead in these big games, and a top-class striker like Jimenez could tip the scales in their favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Panama had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Panama |
60.99% ( -0.71) | 22.04% ( 0.23) | 16.97% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( -0.16) | 48.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( -0.14) | 70.34% ( 0.14) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.28) | 15.32% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.93% ( -0.53) | 44.07% ( 0.53) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.22% ( 0.51) | 41.78% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.76% ( 0.44) | 78.24% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 60.98%
Panama 16.97%
Draw 22.04%
| Mexico | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 60.98% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.97% |
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2024 2.15am
Jul 17, 2023 12.30am
Final
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Feb 3, 2022 3am
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
