MX23RW : Monday, December 30 22:32:33| >> :60:319:319:
NAC Breda
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg
May 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Emmen

NAC Breda
1 - 1
Emmen

Haugen (38')
Van den Bergh (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Besuijen (82' pen.)
Ubbink (30'), Dirksen (62'), Bernadou (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between NAC Breda and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Roda JC 0-5 NAC Breda
Friday, May 17 at 7.10pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Emmen

All competitions
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Dordrecht 0-1 Emmen
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: NAC Breda 3-1 Emmen

 Although Emmen have the recent experience of participating in the top flight, that may matter little given that NAC scored eight times in the quarter-finals. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to come through in relatively convincing fashion, setting themselves up for the reverse fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NAC BredaDrawEmmen
41.08% (-0.196 -0.2) 24.28% (-0.287 -0.29) 34.64% (0.487 0.49)
Both teams to score 60.05% (1.162 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (1.464 1.46)42.55% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.05% (1.443 1.44)64.95% (-1.437 -1.44)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (0.53500000000001 0.54)20.85% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.828 0.83)53.53% (-0.825 -0.83)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.965 0.97)24.13% (-0.96 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (1.353 1.35)58.43% (-1.348 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 41.08%
    Emmen 34.64%
    Draw 24.27%
NAC BredaDrawEmmen
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.388 -0.39)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.148 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.062 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.265 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs Emmen

NAC Breda
81.8%
Draw
7.3%
Emmen
10.9%
55
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Emmen
2-3
NAC Breda
Vlak (7', 38')
Garbett (61'), Mar Omarsson (72'), Koscelnik (77')
Garbett (38'), Mar Omarsson (89')
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
NAC Breda
1-3
Emmen
Hardeveld (3' og.)
Vlak (14'), Konings (58'), Mendes (80')
Dirksen (34'), Vos (54'), Heylen (55')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Second Round 2nd Leg
Emmen
2-0
NAC Breda
Zivkovic (62'), Assehnoun (90+4')
> Preview
May 31, 2023 5.45pm
Second Round 1st Leg
NAC Breda
1-2
Emmen
Omgba (90+4')
Garbett (36')
Burnet (24'), Romeny (39')
Zivkovic (86'), Diemers (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Emmen
2-0
NAC Breda
Vlak (32'), Kharchouch (33')
rhs 2.0
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