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NAC Breda
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 1st Leg
May 31, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
 
Emmen

NAC Breda
1 - 2
Emmen

Omgba (90+4')
Garbett (36')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burnet (24'), Romeny (39')
Zivkovic (86'), Diemers (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between NAC Breda and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 1-4 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Emmen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NAC Breda 1-2 Emmen

With the form book very much in NAC Breda's favour, they have the momentum ahead of trying to upset the odds on Wednesday. However, we feel that Emmen's superior quality will ultimately shine through to give themselves the best chance of finishing the job in the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawEmmen
48.63% (-0.442 -0.44) 23.79% (0.244 0.24) 27.58% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (-0.974 -0.97)43.53% (0.975 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (-0.963 -0.96)65.93% (0.96599999999999 0.97)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (-0.542 -0.54)18.04% (0.545 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.07% (-0.938 -0.94)48.93% (0.939 0.94)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.36099999999999 -0.36)29.13% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.448 -0.45)65.05% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 48.63%
    Emmen 27.58%
    Draw 23.78%
NAC BredaDrawEmmen
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9% (0.226 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 48.63%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.222 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 4% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs Emmen

NAC Breda
66.7%
Draw
15.2%
Emmen
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 23
Emmen
2-0
NAC Breda
Vlak (32'), Kharchouch (33')
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
gameweek 7
NAC Breda
1-2
Emmen
Bakker (45+3')
Rosler (49')
Rosler (78')
Mendes (10'), Burnet (59')
Apr 12, 2019 7pm
gameweek 30
NAC Breda
1-1
Emmen
Palmer-Brown (88')
Kastaneer (91'), Ilic (92')
Slagveer (15')
Veendorp (72'), Chacon (76')
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
gameweek 12
Emmen
2-0
NAC Breda
Cavlun (58'), Arias (88')
Bijl (70')

Nijholt (41'), Sporkslede (62')
rhs 2.0
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