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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2022 at 12pm UK
Tammela Stadium
HJK logo

Ilves
1 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Larsson (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Radulovic (72'), Hoskonen (88')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SJK 3-3 Ilves
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Plzen
Wednesday, July 20 at 5pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Ilves win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
22.92% (-0.211 -0.21) 25.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 51.76% (0.211 0.21)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-0.225 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28% (-0.174 -0.17)53.72% (0.17 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.79% (-0.146 -0.15)75.2% (0.142 0.14)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.47% (-0.298 -0.3)38.52% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.73% (-0.287 -0.29)75.27% (0.283 0.28)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.016000000000005 0.02)20.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 22.92%
    HJK Helsinki 51.76%
    Draw 25.31%
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.92%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 12.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 9.88% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.04% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 51.76%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
HJK Helsinki
2-1
Ilves
Jair (76', 82')
Boujellab (59')
Vidjeskog (18')
Katz (45+1'), Leislahti (68')
Oct 16, 2021 1pm
Ilves
2-3
HJK Helsinki
Carlos Murillo (2' og.), Ollila (83')
Siira (37'), Manga (47'), Loa Loa (90+3')
Moren (14'), Jair (45+3', 47')
Jun 18, 2021 4pm
HJK Helsinki
2-1
Ilves
Valencic (8'), Jair (68')
Murnane (36' og.)
Siira (45+1'), Katz (65')
May 11, 2021 4.30pm
Ilves
0-3
HJK Helsinki

Loa Loa (22'), Siira (33'), Katz (46'), Mommo (77')
O'Shaughnessy (8'), Lingman (25'), Terho (30')
Sep 13, 2020 4.30pm
Ilves
1-2
HJK Helsinki
Veteli (77')
Arifi (29'), Fofana (41')
Veteli (89')
Tanaka (19'), Vayrynen (63')
O'Shaughnessy (55'), Djalo (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1KuPSKuPS540146242256
2IlvesIlves550056272954
3HJK Helsinki502344271745
4SJKSJK51134644240
5Vaasan PalloseuraVPS52124345-239
6HakaHaka51044043-338
Relegation Round
1Inter Turku531146341241
2Gnistan52124043-337
3Oulu52123240-828
4IFK MariehamnMariehamn52032744-1726
5LahtiLahti51223147-1624
6Ekenas IFEIF51312457-3319
 
Regular Season
1KuPSKuPS22135439221744
2HJK Helsinki22134541212043
3IlvesIlves22116545252039
4SJKSJK2210664033736
5HakaHaka2210573532335
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS229583436-232
7Inter Turku229493829931
8Gnistan228683234-230
9Oulu2256112636-1021
10IFK MariehamnMariehamn2255122038-1820
11LahtiLahti2231092638-1219
12Ekenas IFEIF2234151951-3213


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