Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for KTP had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lahti would win this match.