Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.