Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
49.74% ( 0.02) | 22.06% ( 0.03) | 28.2% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 64.82% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.11% ( -0.16) | 34.89% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.13% ( -0.18) | 56.87% ( 0.18) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% ( -0.05) | 14.42% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.65% ( -0.09) | 42.34% ( 0.09) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( -0.11) | 24.26% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.38% ( -0.16) | 58.62% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
7 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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