Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 18, 2022 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City3 - 0Newcastle Jets
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Newcastle Jets.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 64.03% | 19.45% | 16.52% |
| Both teams to score 57.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% | 37.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% | 11.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.59% | 35.41% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.43% | 72.57% |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne City 64.03%
Newcastle Jets 16.52%
Draw 19.45%
| Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 7.05% 4-1 @ 3.99% 4-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.71% 5-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.58% Total : 64.03% | 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-1 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.46% Total : 16.52% |
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 7
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Melbourne City
Jun 10, 2021 10.05am
Gameweek 10
Melbourne City
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Apr 29, 2021 10.05am
Feb 7, 2021 5.05am
Gameweek 23
Newcastle Jets
1-0
Melbourne City
Mar 23, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 26
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Melbourne City
Form Guide
