Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 at 8am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City1 - 0Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City
Friday, March 1 at 9.28am in Australian A-League
Friday, March 1 at 9.28am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Wellington 3-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, March 3 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, March 3 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
33
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
54.98% ( 0.51) | 21.23% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 63.3% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
