Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 38.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.93%).
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
38.84% ( -0.79) | 22.92% ( -0.32) | 38.24% ( 1.12) |
Both teams to score 65.72% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.62% ( 1.7) | 35.38% ( -1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.59% ( 1.86) | 57.41% ( -1.86) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 0.38) | 18.8% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.78% ( 0.62) | 50.22% ( -0.62) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% ( 1.27) | 19.07% ( -1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.33% ( 2.07) | 50.67% ( -2.06) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.61% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.51% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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