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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 17, 2024 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City
0 - 0
Victory


Jeggo (15'), Jakolis (71')
FT

Machach (5'), Monge (35'), Geria (71')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 5-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 10 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 10 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 38.24% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.93%).

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
38.84% (-0.794 -0.79) 22.92% (-0.32 -0.32) 38.24% (1.118 1.12)
Both teams to score 65.72% (1.332 1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.62% (1.702 1.7)35.38% (-1.698 -1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.59% (1.864 1.86)57.41% (-1.86 -1.86)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.37599999999999 0.38)18.8% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (0.622 0.62)50.22% (-0.617 -0.62)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (1.274 1.27)19.07% (-1.27 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33% (2.066 2.07)50.67% (-2.063 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 38.84%
    Melbourne Victory 38.24%
    Draw 22.92%
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.175 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.449 -0.45)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 38.84%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-2 @ 6.88% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.058000000000002 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.8% (0.216 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.156 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.147 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 38.24%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jakolis (25'), Arslan (28'), Behich (45')
Machach (45'), Miranda (59')
Apr 5, 2023 10am
Feb 18, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Victory
3-2
Melbourne City
Da Silva (7'), Fornaroli (46'), Brillante (77')
Leckie (24', 80')
Oct 22, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 3
Victory
0-2
Melbourne City
MacLaren (17' pen.), Cadete (19' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 23
Victory
3-0
Melbourne City
Brimmer (7' pen.), Rojas (14', 27')
Marchan (23')

Good (13'), Gomulka (87')
rhs 2.0
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