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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2022 at 9.45am UK
AAMI Park
Western Sydney Wanderers

Victory
0 - 1
Western Sydney


Broxham (20'), Izzo (86'), Ikonomidis (90+4'), Nigro (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mrcela (41')
Ninkovic (49'), Nieuwenhof (85'), Mrcela (86'), Marcelo (89'), Carluccio (90+3'), Borrello (90+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-3 Victory
Saturday, October 8 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 9 at 5am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
37.48% (0.477 0.48) 24.22% (-0.081 -0.08) 38.3% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 60.65% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (0.415 0.41)41.93% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (0.416 0.42)64.33% (-0.414 -0.41)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.432 0.43)22.33% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (0.642 0.64)55.81% (-0.64 -0.64)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.012 -0.01)21.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 37.48%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 38.3%
    Draw 24.21%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.48%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.28% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.3%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 9.05am
Feb 16, 2022 8.55am
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Russell (55'), Petratos (80' pen.)
Cancar (89'), Margush (90+4')

Kelava (80')
Apr 23, 2021 10.05am
Victory
5-4
Western Sydney
Folami (14', 45+3'), Roux (28'), Ryan (63'), Butterfield (73')
McManaman (55'), Gestede (56'), Kruse (76'), Acton (90+6')
Troisi (31'), Dorrans (76' pen.), Duke (86'), Muller (88')
McGowan (45+2'), Ziegler (90')
Feb 10, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Dorrans (72' pen.), Yeboah (88')
Dorrans (22')

Gestede (68'), Kirdar (77')
Aug 12, 2020 11.10am
Western Sydney
2-1
Victory
Schwegler (34'), O'Doherty (62')
Jurman (20'), Cordier (22'), Schwegler (30')
Nabbout (66')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (32'), Anderson (49')
rhs 2.0
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