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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 22, 2023 at 4am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Western Sydney

Thurgate (37')
Jurman (45+1'), Dartsmelia (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bozanic (64' pen.)
Ngbakoto (18'), Bonetig (53'), Krpic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 15 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

Newcastle Jets managed to show some improved signs against Western United in their last match, and so they should be good enough to labour to a point on home soil. Games involving Western Sydney Wanderers are normally low-scoring affairs, and we expect this one to be no different, with Rudan's side picking up their fifth 1-1 draw of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
35.06% (0.434 0.43) 24.9% (-0.301 -0.3) 40.04% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.9% (1.147 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (1.448 1.45)45.38% (-1.448 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (1.369 1.37)67.72% (-1.368 -1.37)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (0.93600000000001 0.94)25.22% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (1.271 1.27)59.96% (-1.271 -1.27)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (0.571 0.57)22.57% (-0.571 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (0.845 0.84)56.17% (-0.844 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 35.06%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 40.04%
    Draw 24.9%
Newcastle JetsDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.154 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.36 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.386 -0.39)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 40.04%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Western Sydney

Newcastle Jets
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Western Sydney Wanderers
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 9.45am
Apr 20, 2022 10.05am
Western Sydney
3-2
Newcastle Jets
Ugarkovic (6'), Rodwell (18'), Najjarine (21')
Russell (45'), Ugarkovic (47'), Rodwell (51')
Hoffman (67'), Silvera (75')
Wilson (11'), Mikeltadze (35'), Hoffman (44'), Thurgate (85')
Feb 23, 2022 8.55am
Newcastle Jets
1-0
Western Sydney
Thurgate (61')
Boumal (70'), Jurman (78'), Silvera (85')

Ugarkovic (12'), Baccus (24'), Traore (39'), Cancar (88')
Nov 28, 2021 7.15am
Western Sydney
2-2
Newcastle Jets
Ibini-Isei (42'), Hemed (49')
Williams (25'), Rodwell (74')
Mikeltadze (19' pen.), Boumal (53')
Jan 29, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
1-1
Newcastle Jets
Ibini-Isei (36')
Russell (40'), Dorrans (90+2'), Baccus (90+3'), Natta (90+6')
O'Donovan (81' pen.)
Mauragis (90')
rhs 2.0
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