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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 15, 2023 at 6am UK
Whitten Oval
Newcastle Jets

Western Utd
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Wales (13')
Tratt (30'), Lacroix (34')
Tratt (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stynes (17')
Ingham (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Western Utd
Saturday, January 7 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, January 8 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 1-0 Newcastle Jets

The visitors might head into this match slightly higher in the league table, but there is very little to split these two teams so far. This should prove to be a closely fought game between the two, but it is one that Western United could just edge due to the lack of fire power from the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
48.34% (0.569 0.57) 24.2% (-0.297 -0.3) 27.46% (-0.275 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.58% (0.767 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52% (1.114 1.11)45.47% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19% (1.054 1.05)67.8% (-1.058 -1.06)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (0.66999999999999 0.67)18.91% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (1.106 1.11)50.4% (-1.11 -1.11)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.372 0.37)30.22% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.445 0.45)66.38% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Western United 48.34%
    Newcastle Jets 27.46%
    Draw 24.2%
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Newcastle Jets

Western United
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newcastle Jets
0.0%
8
Head to Head
May 4, 2022 10.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Western Utd
Elsey (52')
Elsey (47'), Wilson (61')
Bayew (27')
Kilkenny (75'), Lacroix (90+5')
Mar 5, 2022 4.05am
Western Utd
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Lacroix (16', 52')
Kilkenny (25'), Skotadis (62'), Topor-Stanley (90+3')
Thurgate (81')
Hoffman (40'), Penha (49'), Boumal (74'), Thurgate (90+1')
Apr 26, 2021 10.05am
Apr 5, 2021 8.05am
Aug 2, 2020 10.30am
rhs 2.0
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