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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 29, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Allianz Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Sydney FC
3 - 1
Wellington

Grant (11'), Mak (86'), Gomes (90+4')
Kucharski (25'), Rodwell (33'), Girdwood-Reich (43'), Mak (63'), Burgess (83'), Wood (90+1'), Gomes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barbarouses (81')
Sutton (88')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Sydney
Saturday, December 23 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
58.33% (0.69900000000001 0.7) 20.43% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.23% (-0.677 -0.68)
Both teams to score 62.62% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.72% (-0.831 -0.83)34.28% (0.833 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.82% (-0.944 -0.94)56.18% (0.946 0.95)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)11.64% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33% (-0.155 -0.16)36.67% (0.156 0.16)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-1.059 -1.06)29.14% (1.061 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-1.327 -1.33)65.07% (1.328 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 58.34%
    Wellington Phoenix 21.23%
    Draw 20.43%
Sydney FCDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.289 0.29)
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.095 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 8.99% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.43%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.18% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Sydney FC vs Wellington

Sydney FC
31.6%
Draw
21.1%
Wellington Phoenix
47.4%
19
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 2am
Gameweek 20
Wellington
1-0
Sydney FC
> Preview
Jan 7, 2023 6am
Gameweek 11
Sydney FC
0-1
Wellington
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 6.05am
Gameweek 15
Wellington
1-1
Sydney FC
Ball (43')
Sandoval (40'), Laws (45+1')
Bobo (67')
Kamsoba (45+1'), Amini (74'), Caceres (78')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45am
Gameweek 5
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Kamsoba (19'), Le Fondre (57')
Retre (61')
Waine (83')
Feb 8, 2021 8.10am
Gameweek 20
Sydney FC
2-1
Wellington
Barbarouses (32', 64')
Brattan (27'), Nieuwenhof (34'), Barbarouses (41'), Grant (61')
Davila (90+3')
Rufer (29'), Ball (90+7')
> Preview
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