Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
31.19% ( 0.92) | 21.95% ( 0.4) | 46.86% ( -1.31) |
Both teams to score 67.36% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.58% ( -1.47) | 32.42% ( 1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.94% ( -1.72) | 54.06% ( 1.73) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% ( -0.21) | 21.23% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% ( -0.33) | 54.14% ( 0.34) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.52% ( -0.98) | 14.48% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.54% ( -1.92) | 42.46% ( 1.93) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 31.19% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.53% Total : 46.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Auckland FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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