Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
48.46% ( -0.42) | 21.58% ( 0.05) | 29.96% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 68.02% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.74% ( -0.03) | 31.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.31% ( -0.04) | 52.69% ( 0.04) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( -0.14) | 13.52% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.42% ( -0.29) | 40.57% ( 0.29) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.65% ( 0.19) | 21.35% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.68% ( 0.29) | 54.31% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |