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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 19, 2023 at 4am UK
Coopers Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Adelaide United
4 - 4
Western Sydney

Ibusuki (32' pen., 67'), Popovic (45+4'), Kitto (79')
Kitto (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Borrello (45+1', 50'), Nieuwenhof (63'), Layouni (90+5')
Traore (38'), Amalfitano (42'), Cleur (55'), Schneiderlin (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Western Sydney Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 2-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers

There is very little to split these two teams in the league table right now and that is something that should be reflected in this match. However, the impressive run of form that Adelaide United are enjoying coupled with their brilliant performances at home this season should give them the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
42.71% (0.112 0.11) 25.31% (0.044 0.04) 31.97% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-0.246 -0.25)48% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-0.227 -0.23)70.17% (0.22500000000001 0.23)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)55.92% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64% (-0.22399999999999 -0.22)28.36% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.9% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)64.1% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 42.72%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 31.97%
    Draw 25.3%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.72%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Western Sydney

Adelaide United
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Western Sydney Wanderers
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2022 8.35am
Jun 3, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
2-2
Western Sydney
Gordon (11' og.), Goodwin (56')
Jakobsen (71'), Juric (74')
Strain (22' og.), Dorrans (30')
Baccus (76'), Dorrans (76'), McGowan (90+3')
Mourdoukoutas (36')
Apr 10, 2021 10.10am
Adelaide United
1-1
Western Sydney
Juric (11')
D'Arrigo (30'), Strain (82'), Cavallo (90+2')
D'Arrigo (45')
Cox (68')
Natta (77')
Feb 27, 2021 6.05am
Western Sydney
2-3
Adelaide United
Kamau (61'), Duke (90')
Gordon (57')
Goodwin (2'), Mauk (44'), Toure (82')
Caletti (58'), Smith (82')
rhs 2.0
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