AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
Al-Ain4 - 2Ahal
Jorgens de Menezes (4'), Rahimi (32'), Fo-Doh Laba (41'), Autonne (70')
Khalfan Zayed Dawi Alharasi (90+8')
Khalfan Zayed Dawi Alharasi (90+8')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tagayew (58'), Meredov (85')
Basimow (51'), Umarow (72'), Geldiyew (83')
Basimow (51'), Umarow (72'), Geldiyew (83')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Ain and Ahal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Ain | Draw | Ahal |
70.93% ( 5.59) | 17.18% ( -2.55) | 11.89% ( -3.03) |
Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.78% ( 4.74) | 37.22% ( -4.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.57% ( 4.94) | 59.43% ( -4.94) |
Al-Ain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.68% ( 2.74) | 9.32% ( -2.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.57% ( 6.12) | 31.43% ( -6.12) |
Ahal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% ( -1.49) | 42.16% ( 1.49) |