MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:40:56| >> :60:113:113:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al-Duhail
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Coutinho (8', 80' pen.)
Aymen (23'), Madibo (48'), Bamba (56')
Mohammed (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Talisca (27', 37', 65')
Brozovic (79'), Talisca (87')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Duhail and Al-Nassr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Duhail

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 3-2 Al-Rayyan
Thursday, November 2 at 4.30pm in Qatar Stars League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Khaleej
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Al-Duhail win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-DuhailDrawAl-Nassr
19.65% (0.923 0.92) 20.48% (0.361 0.36) 59.87% (-1.282 -1.28)
Both teams to score 59.74% (0.404 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (-0.242 -0.24)36.85% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (-0.261 -0.26)59.02% (0.261 0.26)
Al-Duhail Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.782 0.78)32.1% (-0.782 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (0.883 0.88)68.58% (-0.883 -0.88)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)12.02% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.52% (-0.908 -0.91)37.47% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Al-Duhail 19.65%
    Al-Nassr 59.87%
    Draw 20.48%
Al-DuhailDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.196 0.2)
1-0 @ 4.38% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 2% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.65%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.045 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.66% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.95% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-3 @ 3.95% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 3.24% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-4 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.56% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.37% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 59.87%

How you voted: Al-Duhail vs Al-Nassr

Al-Duhail
0.0%
Draw
9.1%
Al-Nassr
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Duhail
Talisca (25'), Mane (56'), Ronaldo (61', 81')
Mohammad (63'), Ali (67'), Olunga (85')
Musa (87'), Coutinho (87')
rhs 2.0
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